MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 18:58:32| >> :600:1607115:1607115:
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Africa Cup of Nations
Libya national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2023 at 9pm UK
 
Tunisia national football team

Libya
0 - 1
Tunisia

FT(HT: 0-1)
Jouini (16')
Dahmen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Libya and Tunisia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Libya

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 3-0 Libya
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Tunisia

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Tunisia 3-0 Libya
Friday, March 24 at 8.30pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Libya 1-2 Tunisia

 Tunisia exhibited their superiority over Libya last time out, but Tuesday's encounter is likely to be anything but straightforward. Nonetheless, we are tipping the visitors to come away with the victory at the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tunisia win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Libya had a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tunisia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.41%) and 1-2 (7.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.25%), while for a Libya win it was 1-0 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Tunisia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tunisia.

Result
LibyaDrawTunisia
22.62% (-0.326 -0.33) 30.14% (-0.149 -0.15) 47.24% (0.479 0.48)
Both teams to score 36.65% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.93% (0.207 0.21)69.07% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.37% (0.137 0.14)86.64% (-0.13199999999999 -0.13)
Libya Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.25% (-0.207 -0.21)47.76% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.95% (-0.153 -0.15)83.05% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Tunisia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (0.364 0.36)29.85% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (0.437 0.44)65.93% (-0.435 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Libya 22.62%
    Tunisia 47.23%
    Draw 30.13%
LibyaDrawTunisia
1-0 @ 10.53% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 4.71% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.89% (-0.076 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.16% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 0.96% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 22.62%
0-0 @ 14.25% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-1 @ 12.73% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.85% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 30.13%
0-1 @ 17.23% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 10.41% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 7.7% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.093 0.09)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.27% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 0.94% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.23%
Total : 47.23%

How you voted: Libya vs Tunisia

Libya
34.2%
Draw
10.5%
Tunisia
55.3%
38
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 8.30pm
Tunisia
3-0
Libya
Msakni (12'), Maaloul (21' pen.), Jouini (86')
Jaziri (63')

Shafshuf (85')
rhs 2.0
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