MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 13:55:27| >> :600:1070530:1070530:
Malawi national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 18, 2024 at 1pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Burkina Faso national football team

Malawi
3 - 0
Burkina Faso

Mhango (28'), Mbulu (57'), Banega Aaron (62')
Mbulu (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ouedraogo (81'), Ouedraogo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Malawi and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burundi 0-0 Malawi
Thursday, November 14 at 3pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burkina Faso 0-1 Senegal
Thursday, November 14 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Malawi 0-1 Burkina Faso

Malawi have been the worst side in this group by some distance and we feel they will struggle to get anything against this Burkina Faso side, who will want to sign off from the competition with a victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Malawi had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Malawi win was 1-0 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
MalawiDrawBurkina Faso
28.67% (2.319 2.32) 27.76% (1.149 1.15) 43.57% (-3.471 -3.47)
Both teams to score 46.54% (-1.7 -1.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.09% (-2.933 -2.93)58.91% (2.931 2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.6% (-2.33 -2.33)79.4% (2.327 2.33)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.61% (0.306 0.31)36.39% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.83% (0.308 0.31)73.17% (-0.31099999999999 -0.31)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.16% (-3.042 -3.04)26.84% (3.04 3.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.86% (-4.179 -4.18)62.14% (4.176 4.18)
Score Analysis
    Malawi 28.67%
    Burkina Faso 43.56%
    Draw 27.76%
MalawiDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 9.87% (1.118 1.12)
2-1 @ 6.56% (0.264 0.26)
2-0 @ 4.99% (0.602 0.6)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.107 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.68% (0.215 0.22)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 28.67%
1-1 @ 12.98% (0.42 0.42)
0-0 @ 9.77% (1.033 1.03)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.76%
0-1 @ 12.84% (0.31 0.31)
1-2 @ 8.54% (-0.48 -0.48)
0-2 @ 8.45% (-0.55 -0.55)
1-3 @ 3.75% (-0.572 -0.57)
0-3 @ 3.7% (-0.602 -0.6)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.271 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.23% (-0.318 -0.32)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.327 -0.33)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 43.56%

How you voted: Malawi vs Burkina Faso

Malawi
10.7%
Draw
14.3%
Burkina Faso
75.0%
28
Head to Head
Sep 10, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Burkina Faso
3-1
Malawi
Traore (35', 38'), Bande (60' pen.)
Simpore (29')
Nkhoma (80')
Chaziya (59')
rhs 2.0
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