MX23RW : Wednesday, March 12 11:31:20| >> :600:8319483:8319483:
Malawi national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Senegal national football team

Malawi
0 - 1
Senegal


Lameck (43'), Chembezi (72'), Banega Aaron (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mane (90+6')
Jackson (59'), Gueye (72'), Koulibaly (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Malawi and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 4-0 Malawi
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Senegal 4-0 Malawi
Friday, October 11 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Malawi 0-2 Senegal

Senegal are huge favourites to carry the day here, and unsurprisingly so given their plethora of talent across the pitch.   We are predicting an easy win for the visitors in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 17.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.05%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Malawi win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result
MalawiDrawSenegal
17.68% (0.205 0.2) 24.85% (0.187 0.19) 57.47% (-0.394 -0.39)
Both teams to score 42.72% (-0.137 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.27% (-0.381 -0.38)57.73% (0.378 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.52% (-0.302 -0.3)78.47% (0.297 0.3)
Malawi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.44% (0.030999999999999 0.03)46.56% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.85% (0.024000000000001 0.02)82.15% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.94% (-0.30499999999999 -0.3)20.05% (0.301 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.72% (-0.48800000000001 -0.49)52.27% (0.484 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Malawi 17.68%
    Senegal 57.47%
    Draw 24.84%
MalawiDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 7.14% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 4.38% (0.03 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.73% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 17.68%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.06 0.06)
0-0 @ 9.34% (0.133 0.13)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 15% (0.08 0.08)
0-2 @ 12.05% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 6.46% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 4.93% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-4 @ 2.59% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.98% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 57.47%

How you voted: Malawi vs Senegal

Malawi
2.9%
Draw
8.8%
Senegal
88.2%
34
Head to Head
Oct 11, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Senegal
4-0
Malawi
Gueye (35'), Mane (68'), Dia (71'), Jackson (77')

Njaliwa (53'), Banda (90+4')
Munthali (16')
Jan 18, 2022 4pm
Group Stage
Malawi
0-0
Senegal
Chaziya (58'), Thomu (83')
Kouyate (20')
Jul 14, 2021 11am
Group Stage
Senegal
2-1
Malawi
A (11', 90+2')
P (63'), S (76')
Muyaba (35')
Sanudi (43')
rhs 2.0
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