Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
Senegal4 - 0Malawi
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Burundi 0-1 Senegal
Monday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Monday, September 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 7 | 9 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Guinea | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Gambia | 3 | -5 | 0 |
We said: Senegal 2-1 Malawi
While Malawi put up decent performances, scoring in both previous matches in this competition, they now face a major step up in class of opponents, and we feel they will be unable to contain the star-studded Lions of Teranga in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 72.95%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Malawi had a probability of 8.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (16.43%) and 3-0 (10.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (8.3%), while for a Malawi win it was 0-1 (4.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Senegal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Senegal | Draw | Malawi |
72.95% ( -0.75) | 18.82% ( 0.22) | 8.22% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 33.9% ( 1.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
