World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage
Jun 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stade Cheikha Ould Boidiya
Mauritania0 - 1Senegal
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Mauritania 0-2 Sudan
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
Thursday, June 6 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Angola | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 3 | Mauritania | 3 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Algeria | 3 | -1 | 2 |
We said: Mauritania 0-1 Senegal
Abdou's Mauritania impressed at AFCON 2023 with their organisation and intensity, making them a genuine threat to Senegal despite picking one point from three games. However, the Lions of Teranga's superior individual quality and the need to secure maximum points to avoid falling further behind give them an added incentive to win in Nouakchott. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 45.55%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Mauritania had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.17%) and 1-2 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Mauritania win it was 1-0 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Senegal |
26.38% ( 0.7) | 28.07% ( 0.29) | 45.55% ( -0.99) |
| Both teams to score 44.32% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
