Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stade Rene Gaillard
Mauritania2 - 1Gabon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sudan 0-3 Mauritania
Tuesday, June 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Tuesday, June 20 at 7pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Mali | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Gambia | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Tunisia | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Mauritania | 3 | -7 | 0 |
We said: Mauritania 1-1 Gabon
The stakes for Saturday's game could hardly be higher than they currently are and we are expecting an enthralling affair. That said, we can see the teams cancelling each other out and having to settle for a point apiece come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritania win with a probability of 39.37%. A win for Gabon had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mauritania win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 2-1 (7.48%). The likeliest Gabon win was 0-1 (12.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mauritania would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mauritania | Draw | Gabon |
39.37% ( 0.12) | 30.18% ( -0.01) | 30.45% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 41% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
