MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 17:19:11| >> :600:375020:375020:
Morocco national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 17, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Mohamed V
Liberia national football team

Morocco
3 - 0
Liberia

Harit (45+2'), El Kaabi (59' pen.), Adli (89')
Aguerd (6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sangare (15'), Dweh (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Morocco and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Ivory Coast 1-1 Morocco
Saturday, October 14 at 6pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Liberia 2-3 Libya
Saturday, October 14 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

We said: Morocco 3-0 Liberia

Morocco boast quality players all over the pitch and are huge favourites to emerge victorious here. We are backing the home side to run out comfortable winners come the sound of the 90 minutes in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morocco win with a probability of 73.23%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Liberia had a probability of 9.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morocco win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.77%) and 3-0 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.26%), while for a Liberia win it was 0-1 (3.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Morocco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Morocco.

Result
MoroccoDrawLiberia
73.23% (-0.65300000000001 -0.65) 17.75% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09) 9.02% (0.744 0.74)
Both teams to score 39.84% (3.196 3.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.77% (2.598 2.6)48.23% (-2.596 -2.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (2.333 2.33)70.38% (-2.33 -2.33)
Morocco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.31% (0.559 0.56)11.69% (-0.557 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.22% (1.185 1.19)36.78% (-1.182 -1.18)
Liberia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.11% (3.355 3.36)54.89% (-3.353 -3.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.19% (1.913 1.91)87.81% (-1.91 -1.91)
Score Analysis
    Morocco 73.22%
    Liberia 9.02%
    Draw 17.75%
MoroccoDrawLiberia
2-0 @ 14.78% (-0.94 -0.94)
1-0 @ 13.77% (-1.2 -1.2)
3-0 @ 10.57% (-0.43 -0.43)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.365 0.37)
3-1 @ 6.34% (0.393 0.39)
4-0 @ 5.68% (-0.104 -0.1)
4-1 @ 3.41% (0.28 0.28)
5-0 @ 2.44% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (0.295 0.3)
5-1 @ 1.46% (0.15 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.176 0.18)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 73.22%
1-1 @ 8.26% (0.165 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.716 -0.72)
2-2 @ 2.66% (0.361 0.36)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 17.75%
0-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-2 @ 2.48% (0.29 0.29)
0-2 @ 1.15% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 9.02%

How you voted: Morocco vs Liberia

Morocco
87.5%
Draw
8.3%
Liberia
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Jun 13, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Liberia
0-2
Morocco

Pabai (3'), Sanoh (55'), (79'), Dorley (83'), Salmon (84')
Fajr (56' pen.), En-Nesyri (58')
Aboukhlal (78')
rhs 2.0
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