Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Libya win with a probability of 41.94%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Eswatini had a probability of 28.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Libya win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.41%) and 1-2 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Eswatini win it was 1-0 (10.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Libya in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Libya.
-0.32) 
0.54) 
