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Nigeria national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Amitie
Cameroon national football team

Nigeria
2 - 0
Cameroon

Lookman (36', 90')
Simon (87'), Aina (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wooh (53'), N'Koudou (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Nigeria and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Guinea-Bissau 0-1 Nigeria
Monday, January 22 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations
Last Game: Gambia 2-3 Cameroon
Tuesday, January 23 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

We said: Nigeria 1-2 Cameroon

Having lost the last two encounters against Nigeria at AFCONs 2004 and 2019, Cameroon's momentum from defeating Gambia should stand the Lions in good stead in Saturday's encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Cameroon had a probability of 15.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.77%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Cameroon win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nigeria would win this match.

Result
NigeriaDrawCameroon
61.46% (1.176 1.18) 23.17% (-0.471 -0.47) 15.36% (-0.708 -0.71)
Both teams to score 42.76% (-0.181 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.82% (0.582 0.58)55.18% (-0.584 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.58% (0.476 0.48)76.41% (-0.479 -0.48)
Nigeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.4% (0.63500000000001 0.64)17.6% (-0.639 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.82% (1.093 1.09)48.17% (-1.097 -1.1)
Cameroon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.89% (-0.627 -0.63)48.1% (0.624 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.69% (-0.463 -0.46)83.3% (0.459 0.46)
Score Analysis
    Nigeria 61.45%
    Cameroon 15.36%
    Draw 23.17%
NigeriaDrawCameroon
1-0 @ 14.7% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 12.77% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 7.4% (0.287 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.117 0.12)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.188 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.35% (0.099 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.98% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.12% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 61.45%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.193 -0.19)
2-2 @ 3.42% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 23.17%
0-1 @ 6.2% (-0.255 -0.26)
1-2 @ 3.94% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.27% (-0.135 -0.14)
1-3 @ 0.96% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2%
Total : 15.36%

How you voted: Nigeria vs Cameroon

Nigeria
63.7%
Cameroon
36.3%
102
Head to Head
Jun 8, 2021 4pm
Friendlies 1
Cameroon
0-0
Nigeria
Kunde (28')
Collins (64')
Jun 4, 2021 7.30pm
Friendlies 1
Nigeria
0-1
Cameroon
Zambo Anguissa (37')
Oum Gouet (30'), Tchamba (86')
Jul 6, 2019 5pm
rhs 2.0
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