World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Africa | Group Stage

Nov 19, 2023 at 1pm UK

Stade Huye

Zimbabwe
1 - 1
Nigeria

Musona (26')
Dube (46'), Nakamba (56'), Dube (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Iheanacho (67')
Bassey (45'), Collins (87'), Sadiq (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup Qualifying - Africa clash between Zimbabwe and Nigeria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zimbabwe

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Rwanda 0-0 Zimbabwe
Wednesday, November 15 at 1pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	3	1	5
2	Guinea	3	0	4
3	Malawi	3	0	4
4	Zimbabwe	3	-1	3

Nigeria

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Nigeria 1-1 Lesotho
Thursday, November 16 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Equatorial Guinea	0	0	0
2	Ivory Coast	0	0	0
3	Nigeria	0	0	0
4	Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0

In their final outing before the Africa Cup of Nations takes centre stage in January, Nigeria will be looking to pick up a morale-boosting result. The Super Eagles boast a superior and more experienced squad and we are backing them to return to winning ways this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nigeria win with a probability of 73.93%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 9.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nigeria win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.84%) and 0-3 (10.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.96%), while for a Zimbabwe win it was 1-0 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Zimbabwe	Draw	Nigeria
9.29% ( -0.25)	16.78% ( -0.21)	73.93% ( 0.46)

Both teams to score 44% (

-0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.82% (

0.18)

43.18% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.42% (

0.18)

65.58% (

-0.18)

Zimbabwe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.96% (

-0.4)

51.04% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.63% (

-0.27)

85.37% (

0.27)

Nigeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.86% (

0.16)

10.14% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.66% (

0.38)

33.34% (

-0.37)

Score Analysis

Zimbabwe 9.29%

Nigeria 73.92%

Draw 16.78%

Zimbabwe	Draw	Nigeria
1-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.96% Total : 9.29%	1-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.58% Total : 16.78%	0-2 @ 13.55% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 11.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 10.34% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 6.96% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 5.92% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 3.98% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 2.71% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.98% Total : 73.92%