Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage

Jan 23, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stade de Yamoussoukro

Gambia
2 - 3
Cameroon

Jallow (72'), Colley (85')
Jallow (77'), Janko (86'), Fadera (89'), Sanneh (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Toko Ekambi (56'), Gomez (87' og.), Wooh (90+1')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Gambia and Cameroon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gambia

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Guinea 1-0 Gambia
Friday, January 19 at 8pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	2	5	6
2	Guinea	2	1	4
3	Cameroon	2	-2	1
4	Gambia	2	-4	0

Cameroon

All competitions

Africa Cup of Nations

Last Game: Senegal 3-1 Cameroon
Friday, January 19 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Senegal	2	5	6
2	Guinea	2	1	4
3	Cameroon	2	-2	1
4	Gambia	2	-4	0

Gambia are going to put up a fight, but Cameroon's superior quality could be the difference. The Indomitable Lions have struggled to create high-quality chances in this tournament but they should have too much for the Scorpions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 53.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Gambia had a probability of 20.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Gambia win it was 1-0 (8.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Cameroon would win this match.

Result
Gambia	Draw	Cameroon
20.06% ( 0.16)	26.85% ( 0.09)	53.09% ( -0.25)

Both teams to score 41.24% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.32% (

-0.13)

61.68% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.5% (

-0.1)

81.5% (

0.1)

Gambia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.91% (

0.1)

46.09% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.21% (

0.08)

81.79% (

-0.08)

Cameroon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.49% (

-0.17)

23.51% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.45% (

-0.24)

57.55% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Gambia 20.06%

Cameroon 53.08%

Draw 26.84%

Gambia	Draw	Cameroon
1-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 20.06%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.46% Total : 26.84%	0-1 @ 15.68% 0-2 @ 11.35% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.48% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 53.08%