Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Laurent Pokou Stadium
Zambia0 - 1Morocco
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zambia 1-1 Tanzania
Sunday, January 21 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
Sunday, January 21 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Morocco | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 2 | Zambia | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| 4 | Tanzania | 2 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Zambia 1-2 Morocco
Expect a cagey opening, with both teams wary of exposing vulnerabilities. Morocco's quality and technical finesse might give them the edge, but Zambia will not go down without a fight. The Atlas Lions have dominated this fixture in the past, and we expect this trend to continue on Wednesday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Morocco had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Morocco win was 0-1 (9.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Morocco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zambia | Draw | Morocco |
41.28% ( -0.84) | 27.13% ( 0.23) | 31.59% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 49.64% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
