Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 68.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for GAIS had a probability of 13.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 1-0 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.27%), while for a GAIS win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.