MX23RW : Thursday, November 7 12:58:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 3
Apr 15, 2024 at 6pm UK
Finnvedsvallen
Malmo

Varnamo
0 - 4
Malmo


Kotto (81')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kiese Thelin (6'), Cornelius (33'), Nanasi (51'), Botheim (78')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varnamo and Malmo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Varnamo 1-2 GAIS
Monday, April 8 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 2-0 Hammarby
Sunday, April 7 at 1pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 16.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.92%) and 0-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.38%), while for a Varnamo win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
VarnamoDrawMalmo
16.32% (-0.362 -0.36) 20.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 63.66% (0.35 0.35)
Both teams to score 54.59% (-0.871 -0.87)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (-0.751 -0.75)40.45% (0.754 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (-0.779 -0.78)62.82% (0.78 0.78)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.08% (-0.89899999999999 -0.9)37.92% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.31% (-0.883 -0.88)74.69% (0.88500000000001 0.89)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.94% (-0.128 -0.13)12.06% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.42% (-0.271 -0.27)37.57% (0.273 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Varnamo 16.32%
    Malmo 63.66%
    Draw 20.02%
VarnamoDrawMalmo
2-1 @ 4.55% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-0 @ 4.44% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 2.15% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-1 @ 1.47% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 16.32%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.118 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.57% (0.157 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.02%
0-2 @ 10.23% (0.248 0.25)
1-2 @ 9.92% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.283 0.28)
0-3 @ 7.21% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 7% (-0.034 -0.03)
0-4 @ 3.81% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 3.7% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.39% (-0.101 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.79% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-5 @ 1.61% (0.015 0.02)
1-5 @ 1.57% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 63.66%

How you voted: Varnamo vs Malmo

Varnamo
0.0%
Draw
12.5%
Malmo
87.5%
8
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 17
Malmo
3-1
Varnamo
Kiese Thelin (24', 90+3'), Rieks (73')
Lewicki (49'), Busanello (52'), Bolin (90+3')
Johansson (27')
Larsson (43'), Junior Adjei (88')
Jun 10, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 12
Varnamo
1-3
Malmo
Engvall (2')
Ali (35', 75'), Nanasi (88')
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Apr 21, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 4
Varnamo
0-0
Malmo
Nasstrom (25')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1MalmoMalmo29188365244162
2HammarbyHammarby29166748242454
3AIK FotbollAIK29163104140151
4Djurgardens IFDjurgarden2915594234850
5Mjallby AIF2913884335847
6GAISGAIS29136103433145
7ElfsborgElfsborg29135115244844
8HackenHacken29126115450442
9SiriusSirius29125124644241
10BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna29810114551-634
11IFK NorrkopingNorrkoping2997133554-1934
12Halmstads BKHalmstad29103163145-1433
13IFK GoteborgGoteborg29710123342-931
14Varnamo2979133040-1030
15KalmarKalmar2976163758-2127
16Vasteras SKVasteras2955192543-1820


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!