Malmo are tipped to get a slender win over their bogey side Varnamo, having failed to score against them in both meetings last season, thus ending that winless run at the third time of asking to ward off Elfsborg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 20.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Varnamo	Draw	Malmo
20.54% ( 0.17)	22.65% ( 0.07)	56.82% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 53.69% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.48% (

-0.06)

45.52% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.15% (

-0.06)

67.85% (

0.06)

Varnamo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.76% (

0.14)

36.24% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.98% (

0.14)

73.02% (

-0.14)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.2% (

-0.1)

15.8% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.05% (

-0.19)

44.95% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Varnamo 20.54%

Malmo 56.81%

Draw 22.64%

Varnamo	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 20.54%	1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.64%	0-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.09% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 6% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 56.81%