Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Apr 13, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra
Belgrano1 - 3Boca Juniors
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Belgrano and Boca Juniors.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estudiantes 0-1 Belgrano
Friday, April 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Friday, April 4 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Boca Juniors 1-0 Barracas Central
Sunday, April 6 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 6 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgrano win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgrano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belgrano | Draw | Boca Juniors |
37.58% ( 0.15) | 29.33% ( 0.24) | 33.09% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 43.78% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.94% ( -0.83) | 63.06% ( 0.83) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.49% ( -0.6) | 82.51% ( 0.6) |
| Belgrano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( -0.33) | 32.31% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.18% ( -0.38) | 68.82% ( 0.38) |
| Boca Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.69% ( -0.71) | 35.31% ( 0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.93% ( -0.75) | 72.07% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
Belgrano 37.58%
Boca Juniors 33.08%
Draw 29.32%
| Belgrano | Draw | Boca Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 12.89% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.28% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 13.41% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.35)2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.32% | 0-1 @ 11.87% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.11% Total : 33.08% |
Form Guide
