Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Oct 12, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Feliciano Gambarte
We said: Godoy Cruz 2-1 San Lorenzo
Neither team heads into this weekend with much momentum or confidence due to their poor runs, but that could lead to each believing this is the perfect match to change their fortunes.
Godoy Cruz were a much stronger outfit within the first phase of the competition and that should lead to them being the slight favourites here.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Godoy Cruz win with a probability of 46.85% . A draw had a probability of 30.9% and a win for San Lorenzo had a probability of 22.26% .
The most likely scoreline for a Godoy Cruz win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.95% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (7.38%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.38%) , while for a San Lorenzo win it was 0-1 (10.84%) . The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood .
Result Godoy Cruz Draw San Lorenzo 46.85% ( 4.09) 30.89% ( -0.84) 22.26% ( -3.25)
Both teams to score 34.83% ( -0.59)
28.86% ( 0.56) 71.14% ( -0.55)
12.05% ( 0.35) 87.95% ( -0.34)
68.86% ( 2.62) 31.13% ( -2.62)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 32.54% ( 2.96) 67.46% ( -2.95)
50.58% ( -2.89) 49.42% ( 2.9)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 15.75% ( -2.12) 84.25% ( 2.13)
Godoy Cruz 46.84%
San Lorenzo 22.25%
Draw 30.88%
Godoy Cruz Draw San Lorenzo 1-0 @ 17.95% ( 0.9) 2-0 @ 10.47% ( 1.21) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.72) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.31) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.89% Total : 46.84% 0-0 @ 15.38% ( -0.32) 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.25% Total : 30.88% 0-1 @ 10.84% ( -1.17) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.53) 0-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.78) 1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.23) Other @ 2.08% Total : 22.25%
rhs 2.0
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