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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 25
Jul 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Atletico Tucuman

Newell's OB
0 - 0
Tucuman


Aguirre (45+1'), Mosquera (56'), Perez (65'), Portillo (90+3')
FT

Coronel (33'), Ortiz (37'), Pereyra (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Atletico Tucuman, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Independiente 0-2 Newell's OB
Wednesday, July 12 at 12am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Tucuman 2-0 Gimnasia
Wednesday, July 12 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Newell's Old Boys 1-2 Atletico Tucuman

Tucuman's recent form is difficult to ignore when picking a result here, and we have just about sided with the visitors on Monday. Newell's Old Boys will view this as a match which they should win, but the hosts have been inconsistent of late and could come up just short against their in-form opponents. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 51.27%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.41%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Newell's Old BoysDrawAtletico Tucuman
51.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02) 28.81% (0.212 0.21) 19.92% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 36.72% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.57% (-0.716 -0.72)67.43% (0.71600000000001 0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.44% (-0.483 -0.48)85.56% (0.483 0.48)
Newell's Old Boys Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (-0.354 -0.35)26.99% (0.354 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (-0.465 -0.46)62.34% (0.467 0.47)
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.29% (-0.659 -0.66)49.71% (0.659 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.54% (-0.465 -0.47)84.45% (0.465 0.47)
Score Analysis
    Newell's Old Boys 51.26%
    Atletico Tucuman 19.92%
    Draw 28.8%
Newell's Old BoysDrawAtletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 17.57% (0.29 0.29)
2-0 @ 11.5% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.04% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.51% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.65% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.23% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 51.26%
0-0 @ 13.41% (0.35 0.35)
1-1 @ 12.28% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 2.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 28.8%
0-1 @ 9.38% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 4.29% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 19.92%

How you voted: Newell's OB vs Tucuman

Newell's Old Boys
40.0%
Draw
15.0%
Atletico Tucuman
45.0%
20
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 11
Tucuman
2-0
Newell's OB
Carrera (74'), Tesuri (90+9')
Pereyra (17'), Gil Romero (54'), Balanta (87')

Lema (55'), Sordo (58'), Mendez (61')
Mar 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Newell's OB
4-0
Tucuman
Garro (2'), Castro (44'), Sordo (74'), Funez (81')
Perez (30'), Lema (37'), Fernandez (63'), Luciano (78'), Sforza (87'), Ditta (90+2')

Bianchi (30'), Thaller (42'), Garay (58')
Aug 30, 2021 6.30pm
Second Phase
Newell's OB
1-2
Tucuman
Scocco (72')
Mussis (53'), Lotti (86')
Orihuela (69'), Cabral (73')
Mar 30, 2021 1.15am
First Phase
Tucuman
2-2
Newell's OB
Alejandro Bustos (31')
Fernandez (23'), Cacciabue (59'), Perez (77'), Sforza (83')
Dec 7, 2019 10.40pm
Gameweek 16
Tucuman
2-2
Newell's OB
Toledo (26', 50')
Toledo (26'), Bianchi (37'), Erbes (66')
Cabral (94')
Rodriguez (39' pen.), Leal (67')
Rodriguez (10'), Lema (91')
Salinas (94')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield27149438162251
2TalleresTalleres2713953427748
3Racing ClubRacing27144942301246
4HuracanHuracan271210528181046
5River PlateRiver Plate271110638211743
6Boca Juniors2711973023742
7IndependienteIndependiente2791352517840
8Atletico TucumanTucuman2711792827140
9UnionUnion2711792726140
10Platense2710982018239
11Independiente Rivadavia2710892325-238
12EstudiantesEstudiantes2781273634236
13Instituto27106113231136
14LanusLanus2781272831-336
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz2781183128335
16BelgranoBelgrano2781183332135
17Deportivo Riestra2781182627-135
18TigreTigre2781092730-334
19GimnasiaGimnasia2788112123-232
20Rosario CentralRosario2788112730-332
21Defensa y JusticiaDefensa2771192733-632
22Central CordobaC. Cordoba2787122936-731
23Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs2786132228-630
24San Lorenzo2778122026-629
25Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB2777132235-1328
26Sarmiento27511111828-1026
27BanfieldBanfield2759132236-1424
28Barracas Central27411121533-1823


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