Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 3
Feb 5, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Marcelo Alberto Bielsa
Newell's OB1 - 0Belgrano
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Newell's Old Boys and Belgrano.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lanus 0-2 Newell's OB
Wednesday, January 31 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, January 31 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Belgrano 1-1 San Lorenzo
Wednesday, January 31 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Wednesday, January 31 at 10.15pm in Argentine Primera Division
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newell's Old Boys win with a probability of 47.45%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Belgrano had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newell's Old Boys win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.78%), while for a Belgrano win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newell's Old Boys in this match.
Result | ||
Newell's Old Boys | Draw | Belgrano |
47.45% ( 0.43) | 29.81% ( 0.18) | 22.73% ( -0.61) |
Both teams to score 37.42% ( -0.9) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
31.83% ( -0.83) | 68.17% ( 0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
13.95% ( -0.56) | 86.05% ( 0.55) |
Newell's Old Boys Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( -0.2) | 29.28% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( -0.24) | 65.24% ( 0.24) |
Belgrano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.9% ( -1.12) | 47.09% ( 1.12) |