Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 37.9%. A win for Torpedo-BelAZ had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Torpedo-BelAZ win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.