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Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2
Aug 14, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estádio da Luz
Arouca

Benfica
2 - 0
Arouca

Waldschmidt (38'), Yaremchuk (44')
Rodrigues (85')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hugo Silva Braga (8')

Preview: Benfica vs. Arouca - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The Portuguese Primeira Liga returns with a fresh set of fixtures as Benfica welcome Arouca to the Estadio Sport Lisboa e Benfica on Saturday.

The hosts head into the game off the back of a 2-0 victory over Spartak Moscow, while the visitors were beaten 2-0 by Estoril Praia last Saturday.


Match preview

Benfica's Haris Seferovic celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

Benfica continued their charge for a place in the final round of the Champions League qualifiers as they claimed a 2-0 second-leg win over Russian outfit Spartak Moscow.

Having already secured a 2-0 victory in Russia, Jorge Jesus's men put in another show of class to claim a 4-0 aggregate victory through goals from Joao Mario and an own goal from French defender Samuel Gigot.

Back at home, As Aguias kicked off their Primeira Liga campaign with a 2-1 victory over Moreirense courtesy of quick first-half goals from Lucas Verissimo and Luca Waldschmidt in an 11-minute spell.

They head into Saturday's game in fine form, having picked up seven wins and one draw from their eight outings so far this season.

Next up for Benfica is a clash with Arouca, who ended their five-year absence from the Primeira Liga courtesy of a 5-0 aggregate victory over Rio Ave in the playoffs back in May.

Arouquenses were denied a dream start to the league campaign last Saturday as they suffered a 2-0 defeat against fellow newcomers Estoril Praia.

In an action-packed affair at the Estadio Municipal de Arouca, Andre Franco and Ryotaro Meshino scored in either half to hand last year's Segunda Liga winners an opening-day victory.

This followed last Sunday's 1-0 defeat against Rio Ave which condemned Armando Evangelista's men to an early exit from the Taca da Liga.

While Saturday's visitors will look to avoid a third straight defeat, they face an opposing side who are unbeaten in 10 of the last 11 meetings across all competitions.​

Arouca's only victory came back in August 2015 courtesy of a second-minute strike from 32-year-old forward Roberto, but Benfica have picked up four straight wins since then, scoring 10 goals and conceding three.

Benfica Primeira Liga form:
  • W

Benfica form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Arouca Primeira Liga form:
  • L

Arouca form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L


Team News

Benfica coach Jorge Jesus in the Europa League on February 18, 2021© Reuters

The hosts remain without defender Andre Almeida, who has been sidelined since last October with a long-term knee injury.

Swiss forward Haris Seferovic sustained a 37th-minute muscle injury in last Wednesday's Champions League qualification game against Spartak Moscow and is expected to miss the game.

Diogo Goncalves will also sit out the game as he serves the first of a three-game suspension after receiving his marching orders against Moreirense, while Jan Vertonghen is a major doubt after sustaining a thigh problem last time out.

Arouca, on the other hand, will be without newly signed Brazilian midfielder Antony Santos, who has been out of action since March through injury.​

Meanwhile, Lawrence Ofori is expected to slot right into the centre of the park, having returned for his second consecutive season-long loan spell from parent club Famalicao.

Benfica possible starting lineup:
Vlachodimos; Vertonghen, Otamendi, Verissimo; Grimaldo, Weigl, Mario, Gilberto; Pizzi, Silva, Ramos

Arouca possible starting lineup:
Braga; Thales, Aloe, Velazquez, Joel; Silva, Moreira; Bukia, Ofori, Nunes; Silva


SM words green background

We say: Benfica 3-0 Arouca

Benfica have begun their 2021-22 campaign on the front foot, picking up three wins from three competitive outings.

We expect them to keep the juggernaut rolling and claim a comfortable win over Arouca as they boast a significantly stronger and more experienced squad.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:459109:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8665:
Written by
Joshua Ojele

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Benfica vs Arouca

Benfica
77.3%
Draw
22.7%
Arouca
0.0%
22
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Benfica coach Jorge Jesus in the Europa League on February 18, 2021
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Saturday's Primeira Liga predictions including Moreirense vs. Benfica
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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