Brasileiro | Gameweek 28

Sep 29, 2022 at 1.45am UK

Mineirão

Atletico Mineiro
0 - 1
Palmeiras

Jair (9'), Dodo (41'), Zaracho (44')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cerqueira (51')
Garcia (62'), Cerqueira (72'), Dudu (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions

Last Game: Avai 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 17 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

Top scorers

Palmeiras

All competitions

Brasileiro

Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Santos
Sunday, September 18 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Goals
for

We said: Atletico Mineiro 1-2 Palmeiras

With the hosts failing to win any of their last five home games, and the visitors unbeaten in their last fifteen away, it is hard to look past the runaway league leaders for this one. It will not be so straightforward due to missing key players, but the quality of Gustavo Scarpa should be enough to take Palmeiras one step closer to another league title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
41.16% ( 2.22)	27.6% ( -0.57)	31.24% ( -1.65)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

1.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.58% (

1.71)

57.42% (

-1.71)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.77% (

1.34)

78.23% (

-1.34)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.57% (

2.08)

27.43% (

-2.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.09% (

2.62)

62.91% (

-2.62)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.35% (

-0.28)

33.65% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.7% (

-0.3)

70.3% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 41.15%

Palmeiras 31.24%

Draw 27.59%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.39) 3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.35) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.17) Other @ 1.91% Total : 41.15%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.59%	0-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.75) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.46) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.41% Total : 31.24%