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Copa Libertadores WWW header

Copa Libertadores
Athletico Paranaense
Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Aug 31, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Arena da Baixada
Palmeiras

Athletico PR
1 - 0
Palmeiras

Santana (23')
Moura (58'), Vitinho (69')
Moura (70'), Felipe Scolari (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Rafael (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Athletico Paranaense and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletico Paranaense

Last Six:
Last Game: Ceara 0-0 Athletico PR
Sunday, August 28 at 1am in Brasileiro

Palmeiras

Last Six:
Last Game: Fluminense 1-1 Palmeiras
Saturday, August 27 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Athletico Paranaense 1-1 Palmeiras

 Furacao have conceded a goal or fewer in eight consecutive home matches in all competitions, and while they are one of the few teams who hold a victory against Palmeiras this season, their inconsistent form of late makes it difficult for us to see them as the clear winners in this contest. It appears as though it will take something special to beat this Palestra side, who look as hungry and determined as ever to win it all once again, while they have reacted well in the face of adversity and always seem to find another gear. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 49.62%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 22.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 1-0 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPalmeiras
22.16% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 28.22% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 49.62% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 40.39% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.88% (0.036999999999999 0.04)64.11% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.73% (0.027000000000001 0.03)83.26% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.74% (0.058999999999997 0.06)45.26% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.86% (0.045999999999999 0.05)81.14% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.78%26.22% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)61.31% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 22.16%
    Palmeiras 49.61%
    Draw 28.21%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 4.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 3.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.32% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 22.16%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 11.86% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 15.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 10.63% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 4.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.59% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 49.61%

How you voted: Athletico PR vs Palmeiras

Athletico Paranaense
14.3%
Draw
32.1%
Palmeiras
53.6%
28
Head to Head
Jul 3, 2022 1am
Palmeiras
0-2
Athletico PR

Piquerez (57')
Menino (90+1')
Roque (36'), Bueno (58' pen.)
Henrique (39'), Vinicius (45')
Mar 3, 2022 12.30am
Palmeiras
2-0
Athletico PR
Rafael (50'), Danilo (88')
Ferreira (64')
Ferreira (90+1')
Feb 24, 2022 12.30am
Athletico PR
2-2
Palmeiras
Terans (19'), Marlos (76')
Heleno (70'), Erick (74'), Hernandez (90+6')
Jailson (28'), Veiga (90+7' pen.)
Dec 6, 2021 10pm
Athletico PR
0-0
Palmeiras

Canesin (75')

Garcia (45+3')
Aug 29, 2021 1am
Palmeiras
2-1
Athletico PR
Garcia (22'), Rony (71')
Rafael (69'), Deyverson (82'), Melo (88')
Bissoli (66')
rhs 2.0
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