Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 50.84%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Juventude had a probability of 23.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Juventude win it was 0-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.

Result
Botafogo	Draw	Juventude
50.84% ( -0.83)	26.06% ( 0.36)	23.09% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 46.78% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.65% (

-0.88)

56.35% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.62% (

-0.72)

77.37% (

0.72)

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.76% (

-0.73)

22.23% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.33% (

-1.1)

55.66% (

1.1)

Juventude Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.16% (

-0.04)

39.84% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.49% (

-0.04)

76.5% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Botafogo 50.83%

Juventude 23.09%

Draw 26.06%

Botafogo	Draw	Juventude
1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.91% Total : 50.83%	1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.36% Total : 23.09%