Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Sport Recife had a probability of 27.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.91%) and 1-2 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Sport Recife win it was 1-0 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.