Holstein Kiel
1 - 5
FC Koln

(FC Koln win 5-2 on aggregate)

Jae-sung (4')
Porath (32')

FT(HT: 1-4)

Hector (3'), Andersson (6', 13'), Czichos (39'), Skhiri (84')
Bornauw (28'), Horn (44'), Horn (65'), Thielmann (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga Relegation Playoffs clash between Holstein Kiel and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Holstein Kiel	Draw	FC Koln
49.03%	24.02%	26.95%

Both teams to score 56.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.98%

45.01%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.63%

67.36%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.55%

18.45%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.36%

49.63%

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.63%

30.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.44%

66.55%

Score Analysis

Holstein Kiel 49.03%

FC Koln 26.95%

Draw 24.01%

Holstein Kiel	Draw	FC Koln
2-1 @ 9.54% 1-0 @ 9.47% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 5.37% 3-0 @ 4.51% 3-2 @ 3.2% 4-1 @ 2.27% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 3.42% Total : 49.03%	1-1 @ 11.28% 2-2 @ 5.68% 0-0 @ 5.6% 3-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.01%	1-2 @ 6.73% 0-1 @ 6.68% 0-2 @ 3.98% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.95%