Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mage-Solar-Stadion
Freiburg3 - 1Augsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 Frankfurt
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-0 Borussia M'bach
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Wednesday, January 25 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Freiburg 2-0 Augsburg
We believe that Freiburg will control this matchup and will have too much attacking quality for Augsburg to deal with. Augsburg will be aggressive and direct in their approach to this game away from home, but will be unable to cause a threat to Freiburg defensively and will be picked off by the hosts. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 66.16%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 14.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for an Augsburg win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
66.16% ( -0.68) | 19.26% ( 0.34) | 14.58% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 52.94% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.48% ( -0.84) | 40.52% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.1% ( -0.86) | 62.9% ( 0.86) |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.59% ( -0.42) | 11.41% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.83% ( -0.91) | 36.17% ( 0.91) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( -0.06) | 40.24% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.13% ( -0.05) | 76.87% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Freiburg 66.15%
Augsburg 14.58%
Draw 19.26%
| Freiburg | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.21)2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 7.13% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 4.25% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.94% Total : 66.15% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.26% | 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.13% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 1.9% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.76% Total : 14.58% |
How you voted: Freiburg vs Augsburg
Freiburg
90.6%Draw
5.7%Augsburg
3.8%53
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Form Guide
