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Bundesliga
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
VOLKSWAGEN ARENA
Dortmund logo

Wolfsburg
1 - 1
Dortmund

Gerhardt (63')
Gerhardt (71'), Arnold (90+7'), Jenz (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fullkrug (8')
Moukoko (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Wolfsburg
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-0 Freiburg
Friday, February 9 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Wolfsburg 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

 Dortmund have been superb in 2024, and with almost a full complement available to Terzic, they could hand out more misery on Wolfsburg here. Already in the midst of a six-game winless run, Kovac could hardly have asked for many tougher challenges to arrest that run, and Wolfsburg's dismal record against Dortmund only further shortens their chance of success here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Wolfsburg has a probability of 27.56% and a draw has a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win is 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.18%).

Result
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
27.56% (1.239 1.24) 22.63% (0.591 0.59) 49.81% (-1.831 -1.83)
Both teams to score 62.17% (-1.009 -1.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.86% (-1.816 -1.82)38.14% (1.817 1.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (-1.96 -1.96)60.41% (1.958 1.96)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.64% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)26.36% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.5% (-0.114 -0.11)61.5% (0.113 0.11)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (-1.27 -1.27)15.58% (1.27 1.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.45% (-2.415 -2.42)44.54% (2.415 2.42)
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 27.56%
    Borussia Dortmund 49.81%
    Draw 22.63%
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.79% (0.258 0.26)
1-0 @ 5.48% (0.45 0.45)
2-0 @ 3.65% (0.293 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.02% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.62% (0.127 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0099999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 27.56%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.41 0.41)
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.347 0.35)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.63%
1-2 @ 9.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.325 0.33)
0-2 @ 7.1% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-3 @ 4.4% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 3.91% (-0.204 -0.2)
1-4 @ 2.73% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-4 @ 2.04% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-4 @ 1.82% (-0.182 -0.18)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.149 -0.15)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 49.81%

How you voted: Wolfsburg vs Dortmund

Wolfsburg
13.3%
Draw
13.3%
Borussia Dortmund
73.5%
83
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> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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