Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 12, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Wolfsburg

Despite the potential of a European hangover on Sunday, Tuchel's men should secure maximum points to bounce back from two defeats on the trot in all competitions. Wolfsburg have lost 24 and drawn twice in 26 visits to Bayern, and that wretched record is not expected to end this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 12.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Wolfsburg
71.96% ( 0.02)	15.71% ( -0.01)	12.33% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 60.06% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.51% (

28.48% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.66% (

49.34% (

-0.01)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.05% (

6.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.52% (

0.01)

25.48% (

-0.01)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.55% (

-0.02)

35.45% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.79% (

-0.02)

72.21% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 71.96%

Wolfsburg 12.33%

Draw 15.71%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Wolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.57% 4-1 @ 5.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.79% 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.49% 6-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.55% Total : 71.96%	1-1 @ 6.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.46% 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 15.71%	1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 12.33%