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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 54.19%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 23.55% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.61%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
54.19% ( -1.39) | 22.26% ( 0.13) | 23.55% ( 1.26) |
Both teams to score 59.27% ( 1.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( 0.85) | 40.12% ( -0.84) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.52% ( 0.87) | 62.49% ( -0.87) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.2% ( -0.16) | 14.8% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.92% ( -0.31) | 43.08% ( 0.31) |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.56% ( 1.56) | 30.44% ( -1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.35% ( 1.81) | 66.65% ( -1.8) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.39) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.3) 3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.08% Total : 54.19% | 1-1 @ 10.23% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.24) 0-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.19) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.94% Total : 23.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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