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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Koln logo

Bayern
2 - 0
FC Koln

Guerreiro (65'), Muller (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Christensen (5'), Maina (30'), Adamyan (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Bayern
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: FC Koln 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 FC Koln

While Koln have been very poor this season, they have been difficult to beat on the road recently and should find the net in this one. The Bavarians are likely to see their hold on the Bundesliga Meisterschale come to an end this weekend, but we feel that they will win this match comfortably and force Die Werkself to beat Werder Bremen on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 7.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFC Koln
81.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 11.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 7.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.59% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.4% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.85%4.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.65% (0.0049999999999955 0)17.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)39.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.6%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 81.26%
    FC Koln 7.33%
    Draw 11.41%
Bayern MunichDrawFC Koln
3-0 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 8.17%
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 7.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 6.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 4.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 4.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.75%
4-2 @ 2.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
7-0 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-2 @ 1.01%
7-1 @ 1%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 81.26%
1-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 11.41%
1-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 7.33%

How you voted: Bayern vs FC Koln

Bayern Munich
75.9%
Draw
13.8%
FC Koln
10.3%
58
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2023 7.30pm
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
FC Koln
1-2
Bayern
Ljubicic (81' pen.)
Schmitz (24'), Ljubicic (81'), Thielmann (90')
Coman (8'), Musiala (89')
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
1-1
FC Koln
Kimmich (90')
Skhiri (4')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
FC Koln
0-4
Bayern

Kilian (9')
Lewandowski (9', 62', 74'), Tolisso (25')
Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
3-2
FC Koln
Lewandowski (50'), Gnabry (59', 71')
Sule (76')
Modeste (60'), Uth (62')
Ljubicic (20')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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