MX23RW : Sunday, December 22 18:34:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 29
Apr 13, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Koln logo

Bayern
2 - 0
FC Koln

Guerreiro (65'), Muller (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Christensen (5'), Maina (30'), Adamyan (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and FC Koln, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Bayern
Tuesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: FC Koln 2-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 6 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-1 FC Koln

While Koln have been very poor this season, they have been difficult to beat on the road recently and should find the net in this one. The Bavarians are likely to see their hold on the Bundesliga Meisterschale come to an end this weekend, but we feel that they will win this match comfortably and force Die Werkself to beat Werder Bremen on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.26%. A draw had a probability of 11.4% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 7.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 3-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.84%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (2.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFC Koln
81.26% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 11.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01) 7.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.62% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
58.59% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)41.4% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.85%4.15% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.65% (0.0049999999999955 0)17.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.05% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)39.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.6%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 81.26%
    FC Koln 7.33%
    Draw 11.41%
Bayern MunichDrawFC Koln
3-0 @ 8.9%
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 8.17%
2-1 @ 7.7% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 7.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 6.5% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 4.51% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-1 @ 4.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.75%
4-2 @ 2.98% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 2.39% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-1 @ 2.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.9% (0.0010000000000001 0)
7-0 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
6-2 @ 1.01%
7-1 @ 1%
4-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 81.26%
1-1 @ 4.84% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-2 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-0 @ 1.66% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 11.41%
1-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-1 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 7.33%

How you voted: Bayern vs FC Koln

Bayern Munich
75.9%
Draw
13.8%
FC Koln
10.3%
58
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2023 7.30pm
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
FC Koln
1-2
Bayern
Ljubicic (81' pen.)
Schmitz (24'), Ljubicic (81'), Thielmann (90')
Coman (8'), Musiala (89')
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
1-1
FC Koln
Kimmich (90')
Skhiri (4')
Jan 15, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 19
FC Koln
0-4
Bayern

Kilian (9')
Lewandowski (9', 62', 74'), Tolisso (25')
Aug 22, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
3-2
FC Koln
Lewandowski (50'), Gnabry (59', 71')
Sule (76')
Modeste (60'), Uth (62')
Ljubicic (20')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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