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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 1-3 (5.59%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
32.28% | 22.02% | 45.7% |
Both teams to score 67.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.8% | 32.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.2% | 53.8% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% | 20.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% | 53.05% |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.2% | 14.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.93% | 43.07% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 7.27% 1-0 @ 4.81% 3-1 @ 3.84% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 3.67% 3-0 @ 2.01% 4-1 @ 1.52% 4-2 @ 1.45% 4-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.28% | 1-1 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 6.95% 0-0 @ 3.04% 3-3 @ 2.34% Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 8.78% 0-1 @ 5.81% 1-3 @ 5.59% 0-2 @ 5.55% 2-3 @ 4.43% 0-3 @ 3.53% 1-4 @ 2.67% 2-4 @ 2.12% 0-4 @ 1.69% 3-4 @ 1.12% 1-5 @ 1.02% Other @ 3.4% Total : 45.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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