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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Dec 4, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
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Dortmund
2 - 3
Bayern

Brandt (5'), Braut Haaland (48')
Can (51'), Rose (55'), Rose (78'), Bellingham (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Lewandowski (9', 77' pen.), Coman (44')
Lewandowski (88'), Upamecano (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-3 Bayern Munich

 These giant clashes can tend to go one of two ways in terms of a tight affair with little action or an entertaining encounter with plenty of goals, but considering the 20 goals across the last four meetings, as well as Nagelsmann's high-risk approach at Bayern, we are predicting the latter for Saturday's spectacle. Despite the drop off in standards by Bayern in recent weeks, they can never be written off in Der Klassiker meetings, and for this reason we believe they will edge out a Dortmund side boosted by the return of Haaland. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.81%) and 1-3 (5.59%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
32.28%22.02%45.7%
Both teams to score 67.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.8%32.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.2%53.8%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.46%20.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.95%53.05%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.2%14.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.93%43.07%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 32.28%
    Bayern Munich 45.7%
    Draw 22.02%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 7.27%
1-0 @ 4.81%
3-1 @ 3.84%
2-0 @ 3.81%
3-2 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.01%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.45%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 32.28%
1-1 @ 9.19%
2-2 @ 6.95%
0-0 @ 3.04%
3-3 @ 2.34%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 22.02%
1-2 @ 8.78%
0-1 @ 5.81%
1-3 @ 5.59%
0-2 @ 5.55%
2-3 @ 4.43%
0-3 @ 3.53%
1-4 @ 2.67%
2-4 @ 2.12%
0-4 @ 1.69%
3-4 @ 1.12%
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 45.7%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Bayern

Borussia Dortmund
22.3%
Draw
9.6%
Bayern Munich
68.1%
188
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2021 7.30pm
Final
Dortmund
1-3
Bayern
Reus (64')
Reus (25'), Dahoud (32')
Lewandowski (41', 74'), Muller (50')
Sule (23'), Sane (83'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+3')
> Preview
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 24
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Lewandowski (26', 44' pen., 90'), Goretzka (88')
Lewandowski (28')
Braut Haaland (2', 9')
Meunier (29')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 7
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Reus (45'), Braut Haaland (83')
Delaney (45+3'), Witsel (90+1')
Alaba (45+4'), Lewandowski (48'), Sane (80')
Kimmich (36'), Lewandowski (82')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2020 7.30pm
DFL Supercup
Bayern
3-2
Dortmund
Tolisso (18'), Muller (32'), Kimmich (82')
Hernandez (66')
Brandt (39'), Braut Haaland (55')
> Preview
May 26, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 28
Dortmund
0-1
Bayern
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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