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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Dortmund logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Dortmund

Nkunku (29'), Poulsen (68')
Adams (40'), Poulsen (65'), Szoboszlai (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reus (52')
Bellingham (31'), Reus (31'), Witsel (38'), Meunier (55'), Moukoko (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
40.45%24.14%35.4%
Both teams to score 60.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25%41.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85%64.15%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54%53.45%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7%57.29%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 40.45%
    Borussia Dortmund 35.4%
    Draw 24.13%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.71%
1-0 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-1 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.4%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund

RB Leipzig
52.6%
Draw
14.3%
Borussia Dortmund
33.1%
154
Head to Head
May 13, 2021 7.45pm
Final
RB Leipzig
1-4
Dortmund
Olmo (71')
Upamecano (45'), Olmo (81')
Sancho (5', 45'), Braut Haaland (28', 87')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
3-2
RB Leipzig
Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
1-3
Dortmund
Sorloth (90')
Sancho (55'), Braut Haaland (71', 84')
Delaney (32'), Akanji (73')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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