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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Dortmund logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Dortmund

Nkunku (29'), Poulsen (68')
Adams (40'), Poulsen (65'), Szoboszlai (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reus (52')
Bellingham (31'), Reus (31'), Witsel (38'), Meunier (55'), Moukoko (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
40.45%24.14%35.4%
Both teams to score 60.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25%41.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85%64.15%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54%53.45%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7%57.29%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 40.45%
    Borussia Dortmund 35.4%
    Draw 24.13%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.71%
1-0 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-1 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.4%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund

RB Leipzig
52.6%
Draw
14.3%
Borussia Dortmund
33.1%
154
Head to Head
May 13, 2021 7.45pm
Final
RB Leipzig
1-4
Dortmund
Olmo (71')
Upamecano (45'), Olmo (81')
Sancho (5', 45'), Braut Haaland (28', 87')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
3-2
RB Leipzig
Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
1-3
Dortmund
Sorloth (90')
Sancho (55'), Braut Haaland (71', 84')
Delaney (32'), Akanji (73')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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