Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Sep 17, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Signal Iduna Park

Dortmund
1 - 0
Schalke

Moukoko (79')
Modeste (45+3'), Adeyemi (83'), Can (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

van den Berg (20'), Terodde (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Schalke 04, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Man City 2-1 Dortmund
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Hoffenheim	6	5	12
5	Borussia Dortmund	6	1	12
6	Mainz 05	7	-3	11

Schalke 04

Last Six:

Last Game: Schalke 3-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
12	Hertha Berlin	7	-2	6
13	Schalke 04	6	-5	6
14	Augsburg	6	-6	6

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-0 Schalke 04

Although the visitors should be fresher having not played in midweek, we expect Dortmund to have too much class in the Revierderby on Saturday. With Adeyemi and Malen back in the squad, Terzic has the ability to change things from the bench should things not be going his side's way, which is possible if Schalke's potentially defensive gameplan frustrates their rivals during the early stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.55%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.78%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Schalke 04
61.55% ( -0.44)	19.69% ( 0.16)	18.76% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 60.97% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.49% (

-0.32)

34.51% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.56% (

-0.36)

56.44% (

0.36)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.14% (

-0.21)

10.86% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.04% (

-0.46)

34.96% (

0.46)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.4% (

0.09)

31.6% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.99% (

0.1)

68% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Borussia Dortmund 61.55%

Schalke 04 18.76%

Draw 19.69%

Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Schalke 04
2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 4.15% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.98% Total : 61.55%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.69%	1-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.38% Total : 18.76%