Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 8, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Stuttgart
0 - 2
Dortmund

Mangala (45+3'), Karazor (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Brandt (12', 71')
Bellingham (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

Last Six:

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 FC Koln
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Dynamo Dresden vs. Stuttgart
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
14	Augsburg	34	-17	38
15	Stuttgart	34	-18	33
16	Hertha Berlin	34	-34	33

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:

Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bayern Munich	34	60	77
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64

We said: Stuttgart 1-3 Borussia Dortmund

Goals are to be expected on Friday, as the ball has hit the back of the net at least three times in each of the last 15 meetings between these two sides. Stuttgart have recently shown signs of improvement and have built momentum at a good time heading into their clash with Dortmund, but the visitors will be fired up to turn their fortunes around and they should have plenty of firepower to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 0-1 (7.34%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
22.25%	20.83%	56.92%

Both teams to score 62.7%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.16%

34.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.19%

56.81%

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.42%

28.58%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.62%

64.38%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.79%

12.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.12%

37.88%

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 22.25%

Borussia Dortmund 56.92%

Draw 20.83%

Stuttgart	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 5.75% 1-0 @ 4.37% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.32% Total : 22.25%	1-1 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.83%	1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 7.72% 0-1 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-3 @ 5.41% 2-3 @ 4.24% 1-4 @ 3.56% 0-4 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 2.23% 1-5 @ 1.5% 0-5 @ 1.2% 2-5 @ 0.94% 3-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.92%