MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 14:53:55| >> :60:2711:2711:
Hannover logo
DFB-Pokal | Second Round
Oct 19, 2022 at 5pm UK
HDI-Arena
Dortmund logo

Hannover
0 - 2
Dortmund


Kunze (35'), Besuschkow (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Arrey-Mbi (11' og.), Bellingham (71' pen.)
Hazard (38'), Can (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's DFB-Pokal clash between Hannover and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hannover

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Hannover 2-0 Arminia Bielefeld
Saturday, October 15 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Union Berlin 2-0 Dortmund
Sunday, October 16 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hannover 0-2 Borussia Dortmund

 Hannover are only 15 places below BVB in the German footballing pyramid heading into the encounter, so they will be confident of making their more illustrious opponents work hard for their victory. However, we expect Dortmund to bounce back with a win on Wednesday, with the return of Reus likely to provide them with a huge boost. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.45%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 24.43% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.8%). The likeliest Hannover win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Borussia Dortmund.

Result
HannoverDrawBorussia Dortmund
24.43% (1.609 1.61) 22.12% (0.538 0.54) 53.45% (-2.146 -2.15)
Both teams to score 60.83% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.47% (-0.757 -0.76)38.52% (0.755 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.18% (-0.808 -0.81)60.82% (0.806 0.81)
Hannover Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.14% (0.89400000000001 0.89)28.86% (-0.894 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.28% (1.097 1.1)64.72% (-1.098 -1.1)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51% (-0.93599999999999 -0.94)14.49% (0.934 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.52% (-1.837 -1.84)42.48% (1.836 1.84)
Score Analysis
    Hannover 24.43%
    Borussia Dortmund 53.45%
    Draw 22.11%
HannoverDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.24% (0.316 0.32)
1-0 @ 5.2% (0.307 0.31)
2-0 @ 3.23% (0.266 0.27)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.191 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.5% (0.105 0.11)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 24.43%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.26 0.26)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.108 0.11)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.148 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.11%
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.066000000000001 -0.07)
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.8% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-3 @ 6.24% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-3 @ 5.02% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-3 @ 3.88% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-4 @ 3.02% (-0.234 -0.23)
0-4 @ 2.43% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.87% (-0.095 -0.1)
1-5 @ 1.17% (-0.134 -0.13)
0-5 @ 0.94% (-0.134 -0.13)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 53.45%

How you voted: Hannover vs Dortmund

Hannover
12.3%
Draw
9.2%
Borussia Dortmund
78.5%
65
Head to Head
Jan 26, 2019 2.30pm
Dortmund
5-1
Hannover
Hakimi (24'), Reus (60'), Gotze (62'), Guerreiro (67'), Witsel (90')
Hakimi (10')
Bakalorz (86')
Akpoguma (44')
Aug 31, 2018 7.30pm
Hannover
0-0
Dortmund
Mar 18, 2018 12.30pm
Dortmund
1-0
Hannover
Batshuayi (24')
Akanji (79'), Sokratis (90')

Schwegler (28')
> Match Report
Oct 28, 2017 2.30pm
Hannover
4-2
Dortmund
De Jesus (20' pen.), Bebou (40', 86'), Klaus (60')
de Jesus (67'), Tschauner (80')
Zagadou (27'), Yarmolenko (52')
Zagadou (59')
Feb 13, 2016 2.30pm
Dortmund
1-0
Hannover
Mkhitaryan (57')
Kagawa (69')

Prib (36')
rhs 2.0
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