Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Nov 11, 2022 at 7.30pm UK

Borussia-Park

Borussia M'bach
4 - 2
Dortmund

Hofmann (4'), Bensebaini (26'), Thuram (30'), Kone (46')
Stindl (9')

FT(HT: 3-2)

Brandt (19'), Schlotterbeck (40')
Hummels (25'), Guerreiro (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-0 Dortmund
Tuesday, November 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Gladbach appear to be struggling from a lack of belief at present, and we expect Dortmund to punish them on Friday night. BVB's defeat to Wolfsburg was disappointing but no disgrace given Kovac's side's form of late, and they will be determined to ensure that their gap behind Bayern does not grow during the final weekend of action prior to the World Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 53.17%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
25.99% ( 0.03)	20.83% ( -0.01)	53.17% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 67.41% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.33% (

0.08)

30.66% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.01% (

0.09)

51.98% (

-0.1)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51% (

0.06)

23.48% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.49% (

0.09)

57.5% (

-0.1)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.1% (

0.01)

11.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.78% (

0.04)

37.21% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 25.99%

Borussia Dortmund 53.17%

Draw 20.83%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.24% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 25.99%	1-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.83%	1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.51% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.49% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.47% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.39% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.07% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 53.17%