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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 27.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.29%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
27.57% ( -0.3) | 22.35% ( -0.11) | 50.08% ( 0.41) |
Both teams to score 63.21% ( 0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.22% ( 0.32) | 36.78% ( -0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.06% ( 0.35) | 58.95% ( -0.34) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.36% ( -0.03) | 25.64% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.47% ( -0.05) | 60.53% ( 0.05) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.01% ( 0.26) | 14.99% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.56% ( 0.49) | 43.44% ( -0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.23% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 3.56% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 27.57% | 1-1 @ 9.93% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.33% Total : 22.35% | 1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.06% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.15% Total : 50.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |