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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
52.63% ( -0.06) | 22.5% ( 0.02) | 24.88% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 60% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.15% ( -0.05) | 39.85% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.79% ( -0.05) | 62.21% ( 0.05) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.77% ( -0.04) | 15.23% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.11% ( -0.08) | 43.89% ( 0.08) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.78% ( 0.01) | 29.22% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.83% ( 0.01) | 65.17% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.74% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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