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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 52.63%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
52.63% (![]() | 22.5% (![]() | 24.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.15% (![]() | 39.85% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.79% (![]() | 62.21% (![]() |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.77% (![]() | 15.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.11% (![]() | 43.89% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.78% (![]() | 29.22% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.83% (![]() | 65.17% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Monchengladbach | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 9.7% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.37% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.88% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.08% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.94% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.74% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.86% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3.88% Total : 52.63% | 1-1 @ 10.3% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.96% 0-0 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.54% ( ![]() Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.49% | 1-2 @ 6.34% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.38% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 24.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |