MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 09:50:10| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 29, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
vs.
Holstein Kiel

Coverage of the Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Borussia M'bach vs. St Pauli
Sunday, November 24 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Holstein Kiel vs. Mainz
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Pauli win with a probability of 44.7%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 31.34% and a draw has a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.05%).

Result
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
44.7% (0.569 0.57) 23.96% (0.156 0.16) 31.34% (-0.722 -0.72)
Both teams to score 59.98% (-0.9 -0.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.87% (-1.035 -1.04)42.13% (1.037 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.46% (-1.046 -1.05)64.53% (1.049 1.05)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92% (-0.176 -0.18)19.08% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.32% (-0.298 -0.3)50.68% (0.303 0.3)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.12% (-0.946 -0.95)25.88% (0.949 0.95)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.14% (-1.295 -1.3)60.86% (1.299 1.3)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 44.7%
    Holstein Kiel 31.34%
    Draw 23.95%
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.329 0.33)
2-0 @ 6.78% (0.235 0.24)
3-1 @ 5.06% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.74% (0.109 0.11)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.1% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 44.7%
1-1 @ 11.05% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.19% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-0 @ 4.94% (0.226 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.95%
1-2 @ 7.47% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-1 @ 6.67% (0.129 0.13)
0-2 @ 4.51% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.37% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.072 -0.07)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 31.34%

Head to Head
Feb 23, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 23
Holstein Kiel
3-4
St Pauli
Machino (53'), Mees (65'), Bernhardsson (82')
Schulz (45')
Afolayan (11', 36'), Hartel (34'), Metcalfe (57')
Saliakas (90+4'), Hurzeler (90+5')
Sep 17, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 6
St Pauli
5-1
Holstein Kiel
Metcalfe (4'), Smith (7'), Afolayan (38'), Ritzka (69'), Hartel (90+3')
Hurzeler (0'), Smith (27'), Burchert (45+2'), Saad (49')
Holtby (50')
Porath (16'), Holtby (47'), Rothe (73')
May 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Holstein Kiel
3-4
St Pauli
Skrzybski (28' pen.), Komenda (78'), Reese (90+3')
Becker (45+2'), Rapp (46'), Bartels (65'), Pichler (90+5'), Wahl (90+9')
Afolayan (39'), Wahl (53' og.), Daschner (61'), Paqarada (74')
Hurzeler (0'), Afolayan (77')
Afolayan (87')
Nov 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
St Pauli
0-0
Holstein Kiel
Dec 17, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 18
Holstein Kiel
3-0
St Pauli
Bartels (8'), Porath (29'), Pichler (45+1')
Thesker (56'), Arp (90')

Ziereis (56'), Paqarada (80'), Dittgen (86'), Ole Becker (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!