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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Holstein Kiel | Draw | RB Leipzig |
27.59% ( -0.18) | 22.83% ( 0.05) | 49.57% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 61.47% ( -0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.93% ( -0.4) | 39.07% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.6% ( -0.42) | 61.39% ( 0.42) |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.19% ( -0.33) | 26.81% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.9% ( -0.43) | 62.1% ( 0.44) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.99% ( -0.1) | 16.01% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.67% ( -0.19) | 45.33% ( 0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Holstein Kiel | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.99% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.59% | 1-1 @ 10.34% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.29% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.82% | 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.65% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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