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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Leipzig logo

Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
RB Leipzig


Gigovic (36'), Weiner (67'), Schulz (68'), Bernhardsson (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sesko (27'), Silva (69' pen.)
Openda (56'), Vermeeren (74'), Henrichs (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 3-1 Holstein Kiel
Friday, November 29 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Holstein Kiel 1-3 RB Leipzig

Though Leipzig have been in poor form, it is difficult to see them failing to achieve victory given the struggles of their hosts. Leipzig could start the game nervously given they will head into the clash as favourites, but their quality should be enough to take home all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 49.57%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 27.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Holstein KielDrawRB Leipzig
27.59% (-0.176 -0.18) 22.83% (0.055 0.05) 49.57% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 61.47% (-0.349 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.93% (-0.396 -0.4)39.07% (0.4 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.6% (-0.417 -0.42)61.39% (0.42 0.42)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.19% (-0.325 -0.33)26.81% (0.327 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.9% (-0.432 -0.43)62.1% (0.436 0.44)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.99% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)16.01% (0.104 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.67% (-0.188 -0.19)45.33% (0.192 0.19)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 27.59%
    RB Leipzig 49.57%
    Draw 22.82%
Holstein KielDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 6.81% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.65% (0.053 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.72% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.59%
1-1 @ 10.34% (0.06 0.06)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.29% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 9.48% (0.023 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.084 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.79% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.4% (0.036 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.02% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 49.57%

How you voted: Holstein Kiel vs RB Leipzig

Holstein Kiel
13.7%
Draw
11.8%
RB Leipzig
74.5%
51
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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