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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.49%. A win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.5%) and 2-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Borussia Monchengladbach win was 1-2 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
42.49% ( 0.03) | 22.98% ( -0) | 34.53% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 64.87% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.75% ( -0) | 36.25% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.63% ( -0) | 58.37% ( -0) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.39% ( 0.01) | 17.61% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.81% ( 0.02) | 48.19% ( -0.03) |
Borussia Monchengladbach Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.73% ( -0.02) | 21.27% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.81% ( -0.03) | 54.19% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Borussia Monchengladbach |
2-1 @ 8.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.5% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.65% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0) Other @ 4.03% Total : 42.49% | 1-1 @ 10.06% 2-2 @ 6.77% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.02% Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.97% | 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.02% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 3.72% Total : 34.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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