Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.79%) and 0-1 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.1%), while for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win it was 2-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
