Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Qarabag 1-1 Freiburg
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, November 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: FC Koln 2-2 Nice
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, November 3 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Freiburg 2-1 FC Koln
Freiburg should be significantly fresher than their opponents having rested almost their entire strongest XI in midweek, and we expect them to remain third in the table at worst by claiming a crucial victory. This will be Koln's fourth match in 10 days and fatigue is likely to catch up with them sooner rather than later, especially after the disappointment of failing to beat Nice and advance to the knockout stages of the Europa Conference League on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | FC Koln |
50.98% ( -0.03) | 23.6% ( 0.09) | 25.42% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( -0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
