MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 16:45:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Freiburg logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Freiburg

Simakan (54'), Nkunku (56'), Forsberg (78' pen.)
Nkunku (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kubler (66')
Doan (41'), Woo-yeong (43'), Sildillia (46'), Sallai (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Freiburg

 This should be a highly entertaining encounter between two in-form teams, but Leipzig appear to be a class above the majority of teams in the division at present and should be able to claim a huge win. Nkunku continues to be one of the Bundesliga's most impressive players and he will be keen to remain at the top of the Bundesliga goalscoring charts, although Gregoritsch will fancy his chances of bagging once again, too. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
59.75% (1.664 1.66) 21.36% (-0.513 -0.51) 18.88% (-1.155 -1.16)
Both teams to score 55.2% (-0.272 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.84% (0.603 0.6)42.16% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.43% (0.602 0.6)64.56% (-0.605 -0.61)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (0.712 0.71)13.73% (-0.716 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.01% (1.401 1.4)40.99% (-1.407 -1.41)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.99% (-0.85299999999999 -0.85)36.01% (0.85 0.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.21% (-0.879 -0.88)72.79% (0.874 0.87)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 59.75%
    Freiburg 18.88%
    Draw 21.35%
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.82% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.75% (0.239 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.18 0.18)
3-0 @ 6.45% (0.32 0.32)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.171 0.17)
4-0 @ 3.2% (0.237 0.24)
4-2 @ 1.67% (0.05 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.099 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.27% (0.124 0.12)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 59.75%
1-1 @ 10.02% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.109 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.135 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 21.35%
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-1 @ 5.05% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-2 @ 2.58% (-0.195 -0.2)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 18.88%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

RB Leipzig
73.5%
Draw
11.0%
Freiburg
15.4%
136
Head to Head
May 21, 2022 7pm
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
 RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties
Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')
Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-1
Freiburg
Angelino (90')
Henrichs (68')
Demirovic (38')
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Woo-yeong (64')
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
0-3
RB Leipzig

Hofler (52')
Nkunku (41'), Sorloth (64'), Forsberg (79')
Hee-chan (75')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-0
Freiburg
Konate (26'), Sabitzer (70' pen.), Angelino (89')
Orban (28'), Henrichs (62')

Lienhart (25'), Gulde (44'), Tempelmann (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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