Bundesliga | Gameweek 14
Nov 9, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
RB Leipzig3 - 1Freiburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 2-0 FC Koln
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, November 6 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Freiburg
This should be a highly entertaining encounter between two in-form teams, but Leipzig appear to be a class above the majority of teams in the division at present and should be able to claim a huge win. Nkunku continues to be one of the Bundesliga's most impressive players and he will be keen to remain at the top of the Bundesliga goalscoring charts, although Gregoritsch will fancy his chances of bagging once again, too. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.02%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Freiburg |
59.75% ( 1.66) | 21.36% ( -0.51) | 18.88% ( -1.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.2% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
