Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 1, 2022 at 8pm UK

Sporting Lisbon
1 - 2
Frankfurt

Arthur (39')
Reis (35'), Paulinho (45+2'), Inacio (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kamada (62' pen.), Kolo (72')
Jakic (7'), Kamada (14'), Sow (58'), Pellegrini (90+3')

Eintracht Frankfurt qualify for last 16 after dramatic Sporting Lisbon victory

Eintracht Frankfurt seal progress to the Champions League knockout stages after coming from behind to beat Sporting Lisbon 2-1 at the Estadio Jose Alvalade in Group D.

Nov 1, 21:55

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Sporting Lisbon and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Arouca 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, October 29 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt

Neither side should hold back on the attacking front given what is at stake this week, and Sporting have always looked a threat going forward in Europe this term - at least when they have kept all 11 men on the field. Amorim's side have not exactly defined consistency this season and could still be caught out by a Frankfurt outfit that have had no issues finding the back of the net recently, but with the vociferous home crowd behind them, we expect the Portuguese outfit to progress as Frankfurt face a nervous wait to learn whether they will defend their Europa League crown. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.35%) and 3-2 (5.21%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
43.57% ( -0.21)	20.37% ( -0.06)	36.06% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 75.66% (

0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

77.47% (

0.36)

22.53% (

-0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

58.38% (

0.5)

41.62% (

-0.49)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.27% (

0.08)

11.73% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.14% (

0.18)

36.86% (

-0.17)

Eintracht Frankfurt Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.72% (

0.27)

14.28% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.92% (

0.53)

42.08% (

-0.52)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 43.57%

Eintracht Frankfurt 36.06%

Draw 20.37%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.35% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.99% Total : 43.57%	2-2 @ 7.29% ( 0) 1-1 @ 6.99% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.05% Total : 20.37%	1-2 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.73% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.41% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.3% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.55% Total : 36.06%