Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Schalke 0-2 Freiburg
Sunday, October 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, October 30 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Qarabag FK 2-1 Freiburg
Freiburg, despite being by far the best team in the group, have nothing to play for and have important matters to attend to in the Bundesliga over the next week and a half, so are unlikely to take many first-team regulars to Azerbaijan. Qarabag meanwhile, must win to ensure progression and rested many players at the weekend with all eyes on this game. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 56.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 19.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.77%) and 1-2 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Qarabag FK win it was 1-0 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Freiburg |
19.66% ( 0.05) | 23.9% ( -0.01) | 56.44% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 48.46% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
