MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:11:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Bundesliga desktop header

Bundesliga
Leipzig logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 at 6.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Freiburg logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 1
Freiburg

Simons (6'), Openda (79' pen.), Baumgartner (80')
Haidara (62'), Openda (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rohl (45+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Red Star 1-2 RB Leipzig
Tuesday, November 7 at 8pm in Champions League

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 5-0 Backa Topola
Thursday, November 9 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: RB Leipzig 2-0 Freiburg

 After suffering two disappointing defeats on the road, Leipzig will have taken plenty of confidence from their hard-earned victory away from home in the Champions League in midweek, and they will be pleased to be back at the Red Bull Arena on Sunday. Freiburg have had two fewer days' rest than their forthcoming opponents after winning in the Europa League on Thursday, and although we expect them to remain competitive as is usually the case, we can envisage Leipzig securing a relatively routine win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 60.01%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 19.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.3%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
60.01% (0.204 0.2) 20.47% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 19.52% (-0.224 -0.22)
Both teams to score 59.53% (-0.461 -0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.99% (-0.422 -0.42)37.01% (0.419 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.8% (-0.459 -0.46)59.19% (0.454 0.45)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)12.02% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.5% (-0.156 -0.16)37.49% (0.15199999999999 0.15)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.67% (-0.46900000000001 -0.47)32.33% (0.465 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (-0.53 -0.53)68.83% (0.52799999999999 0.53)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 60.01%
    Freiburg 19.52%
    Draw 20.47%
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.72% (0.128 0.13)
1-0 @ 8.23% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 6.95% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.16% (0.073 0.07)
3-2 @ 3.93% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.68% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.26% (0.03 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.08% (-0.035 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 60.01%
1-1 @ 9.3% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-0 @ 3.89% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 20.47%
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-1 @ 4.39% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.05 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.98% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.93% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 19.52%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

RB Leipzig
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Freiburg
6.3%
32
Head to Head
May 6, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
Freiburg
0-1
RB Leipzig
Kampl (73')
> Preview
May 2, 2023 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Freiburg
1-5
RB Leipzig
Gregoritsch (75')
Olmo (13'), Henrichs (14'), Szoboszlai (37', 90+7'), Nkunku (45+1')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
RB Leipzig
3-1
Freiburg
Simakan (54'), Nkunku (56'), Forsberg (78' pen.)
Kubler (66')
> Preview
May 21, 2022 7pm
Final
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
 RB Leipzig win 4-2 on penalties
Eggestein (19')
Kubler (81'), Lienhart (90'), Demirovic (113')
Nkunku (76')
Simakan (57'), Kampl (57'), Forsberg (82'), Tedesco (90+2'), Kampl (119')
Halstenberg (57')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
RB Leipzig
1-1
Freiburg
Angelino (90')
Henrichs (68')
Demirovic (38')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!