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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 8, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Freiburg logo

Bayern
3 - 0
Freiburg

Coman (12', 85'), Sane (25')
Mazraoui (16')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Copenhagen 1-2 Bayern
Tuesday, October 3 at 8pm in Champions League

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 West Ham
Thursday, October 5 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Freiburg

 While Freiburg still possess plenty of talent in attacking areas, their defensive and midfield areas are undoubtedly weakened by injuries and Hofler's suspension at present, meaning we do not give them much hope of shutting Bayern out. The Bavarians have gone up a gear in attack as a result of signing England striker Kane from Tottenham Hotspur during the summer, and they should have more than enough about them to secure a comfortable win on Sunday, particularly with two days' greater rest in their favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 17.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
62.31% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 19.72% (0.317 0.32) 17.97% (-0.307 -0.31)
Both teams to score 59.27% (-1.828 -1.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.99% (-2.085 -2.09)36.01% (2.083 2.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.89% (-2.326 -2.33)58.1% (2.326 2.33)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.9% (-0.614 -0.61)11.1% (0.614 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.49% (-1.368 -1.37)35.51% (1.369 1.37)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.68% (-1.585 -1.59)33.32% (1.584 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.06% (-1.781 -1.78)69.94% (1.781 1.78)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 62.31%
    Freiburg 17.97%
    Draw 19.72%
Bayern MunichDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 8.94% (0.475 0.48)
1-0 @ 8.13% (0.626 0.63)
3-1 @ 7.2% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 6.55% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.95% (-0.235 -0.24)
4-1 @ 3.95% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 3.6% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.19 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.74% (-0.118 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.11 -0.11)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 62.31%
1-1 @ 8.94% (0.323 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-0 @ 3.7% (0.372 0.37)
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.155 -0.16)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 19.72%
1-2 @ 4.91% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.07% (0.246 0.25)
0-2 @ 2.23% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 17.97%

How you voted: Bayern vs Freiburg

Bayern Munich
91.9%
Draw
5.4%
Freiburg
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Freiburg
0-1
Bayern
De Ligt (51')
> Preview
Apr 4, 2023 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
1-2
Freiburg
Upamecano (19')
Hofler (27'), Holer (90+5' pen.)
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 10
Bayern
5-0
Freiburg
Gnabry (13'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (33'), Sane (52'), Mane (55'), Sabitzer (80')
> Preview
Apr 2, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Freiburg
1-4
Bayern
Petersen (63')
Gunter (70')
Goretzka (58'), Gnabry (73'), Coman (82'), Sabitzer (90+6')
Upamecano (90+3')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bayern
2-1
Freiburg
Goretzka (30'), Lewandowski (75')
Haberer (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243
> Bundesliga Full Table


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