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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 62.31%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 1-0 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
62.31% ( -0.01) | 19.72% ( 0.32) | 17.97% ( -0.31) |
Both teams to score 59.27% ( -1.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.99% ( -2.09) | 36.01% ( 2.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.89% ( -2.33) | 58.1% ( 2.33) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.9% ( -0.61) | 11.1% ( 0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.49% ( -1.37) | 35.51% ( 1.37) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.68% ( -1.59) | 33.32% ( 1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.06% ( -1.78) | 69.94% ( 1.78) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.48) 1-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.63) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.24) 4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 2.17% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.72% Total : 62.31% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.37) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.72% | 1-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.98% Total : 17.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 7 | 26 | 26 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 21 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 20 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 17 |
5 | Freiburg | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 17 |
6 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 16 |
7 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 16 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 15 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Mainz 05Mainz | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
11 | Stuttgart | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 12 |
13 | Augsburg | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 12 |
14 | Heidenheim | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 9 |
16 | St Pauli | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 10 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 30 | -20 | 2 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |