MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 16:32:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Heidenheim
Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 11, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Voith-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Heidenheim
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Kratzig (17'), Beck (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Trimmel (76')
Rothe (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-0 Heidenheim
Sunday, December 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 4-1 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 21 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Heidenheim 1-1 Union Berlin

Heidenheim should come into the weekend's game as favourites given the extensive injury list of their opponents. However, Union could benefit from the new manager bounce and at least achieve a draw away from home, defying their recent record on the road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 39.9%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.82%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
HeidenheimDrawUnion Berlin
39.9% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 26.08% (0.055000000000003 0.06) 34.02% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.66% (-0.186 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.23% (-0.235 -0.23)50.76% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.34% (-0.207 -0.21)72.66% (0.206 0.21)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.96% (-0.116 -0.12)25.03% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.29% (-0.162 -0.16)59.71% (0.161 0.16)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.58% (-0.137 -0.14)28.41% (0.136 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.83% (-0.172 -0.17)64.16% (0.171 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Heidenheim 39.9%
    Union Berlin 34.02%
    Draw 26.07%
HeidenheimDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 9.85% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.82% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.9%
1-1 @ 12.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.11% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 8.95% (0.051 0.05)
1-2 @ 7.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.63% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.02%

How you voted: Heidenheim vs Union Berlin

Heidenheim
52.4%
Draw
33.3%
Union Berlin
14.3%
42
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Union Berlin
2-2
Heidenheim
Gosens (43'), Schafer (45+2')
Gosens (45'), Juranovic (53')
Dovedan (3'), Beste (71')
Traore (87')
Sep 30, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 6
Heidenheim
1-0
Union Berlin
Beste (59')
Pieringer (48')

Leite (40'), Kral (77')
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 15, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Heidenheim
2-1
Union Berlin
Glatzel (48'), Schnatterer (56')
Griesbeck (8')
Zulj (23')
Hubner (58'), Mane (88'), Trimmel (90')
Oct 7, 2018 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Union Berlin
1-1
Heidenheim
Gikiewicz (90')
Andersson (52'), Schmiedebach (59'), Trimmel (90')
Glatzel (57')
Glatzel (7'), Griesbeck (41'), Andrich (62'), Theuerkauf (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!